Fernando Verdasco is coming off a three sets win over Kyle Edmund that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Verdasco won 73 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Verdasco won 63 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 16 break points.
F. Verdasco got 62 percent of his first serves in play and managed to win a match despite being down a set and a break.
If Verdasco is capable of staying that focused moving forward, he has a chance to make some noise moving forward in this tournament. Verdasco Fernando has 27 career wins over top-10 players and three of those wins came last year. Fernando V. has won three of his last four matches on clay court.
Dominic Thiem is coming off a semifinal appearance in Madrid where he lost to Novak Djokovic in two tough tiebreaks. After some serious struggles to start the year, Thiem has won 15 of his last 18 matches and is serving with much more consistency. There were matches during his losing stretch where he would have issues simply getting his first serve in play or sustaining rallies.
All of those hiccups seem to be a thing of the past, and Thiem has to be considered a top-three favorite to win this tournament if he’s going to rain in this form heading into the French Open. Dominic T. has won eight of his last nine matches on clay court.
These two have played three times and Verdasco has won all three meetings, including the most recent match last year in Rio de Janeiro. Two of the three meetings were decided in straight sets.
Verdasco has the clear h2h advantage, but it’s Thiem who is not only the more trustworthy player, especially on clay, but he’s put it together these past few weeks in Barcelona and Madrid. Thiem Dominic finally has his game going and should be considered one of the top favorites to win clay tournaments moving forward. D. Thiem finally beats Verdasco.
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GoBonus Prediction: Dominic Thiem